EUR/USD: Key Resistance at 1.18, What's Next? - Société Générale Analysis (2026)

The EUR/USD pair's recent struggle at the 1.18 resistance level has caught the attention of Société Générale's analysts. A crucial turning point for this currency pair may be upon us, and it's time to dive into the details.

EUR/USD, as tracked on FXStreet, faced a significant challenge in breaking through the 1.1800–1.1830 resistance zone. This zone, representing a multi-month consolidation boundary, proved to be a formidable barrier. Following this failed attempt, the pair broke below its short-term rising trend line, indicating a shift in momentum.

But here's where it gets controversial... Société Générale's analysts highlight the potential for a corrective decline, with their eyes on a key support level at the 200-day moving average, hovering around 1.1550–1.1590. This level, they argue, could be a make-or-break point for the EUR/USD's near-term trajectory.

The December low, which aligns with the 200-DMA, is a critical juncture. If the pair fails to find support here, it could signal a deeper decline, potentially setting off alarm bells for traders and investors alike.

And this is the part most people miss... The break below the ascending trend line is a technical signal that upward momentum is waning. This shift in momentum could have significant implications for the pair's future movements.

So, what does this mean for the EUR/USD's future? Will it find support at the 200-DMA, or will it continue its downward trajectory? These are the questions on every trader's mind.

What's your take on this? Do you think the EUR/USD will bounce back, or is this the beginning of a more significant decline? Feel free to share your thoughts and predictions in the comments below! We'd love to hear your insights and engage in a healthy discussion about this potentially pivotal moment for the EUR/USD.

EUR/USD: Key Resistance at 1.18, What's Next? - Société Générale Analysis (2026)
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